Showing posts with label intelligence. Show all posts
Showing posts with label intelligence. Show all posts

Data Mining for Intelligence, Fraud & Criminal Detection: Advanced Analytics & Information Sharing Technologies Review

Data Mining for Intelligence, Fraud and Criminal Detection: Advanced Analytics and Information Sharing Technologies
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Data Mining for Intelligence, Fraud & Criminal Detection: Advanced Analytics & Information Sharing Technologies ReviewEver encounter a concept so revolutionary that you wonder why everyone isn't talking about it? Data Mining for Intelligence, Fraud, & Criminal Detection (CRC Press 2009), by Christopher Westphal, is like that.
Admittedly, only the few, the proud, and the discerning might dare to look beyond a title and trappings ostensibly geared for hardcore law-enforcement types and techies who live and die by visual analytics and pattern recognition for crime detection and fraud prevention. Yet "Data Mining" is not only eminently readable, it contains a game-changing message practically akin to the Rosetta Stone, on how to extract sense and sensibility from all the petabytes of information and data piling up in "cylinders of excellence" (one insider's waggish term for stovepiped data) around us.
Seriously, if the content in Data Mining's pages (think of it as a 2-1/2 pound stimulus package) could be funneled to, say, Obama, Oprah, and a certain researcher at the Library of Congress, we could look forward to pole-vaulting our way through progress to peaceful prosperity - raising our quality of life while saving (as opposed to spending) billions in the process. Let's put it this way: if you like anything at all about Numb3rs, or even NCIS (the most-viewed series in America - hey, at least we've made a few steps up from Baywatch), CSI, or shows of that ilk - you owe yourself a crack at Westphal's Data Mining book. Plus, it'll give your biceps a workout, and impress the heck out of onlookers. Not to mention which, all proceeds go to the National Law Enforcement Officers Memorial Fund, which speaks well for the author's motives on more than one front, not to mention his credibility.Data Mining for Intelligence, Fraud & Criminal Detection: Advanced Analytics & Information Sharing Technologies Overview

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Extreme Risk Management: Revolutionary Approaches to Evaluating and Measuring Risk Review

Extreme Risk Management: Revolutionary Approaches to Evaluating and Measuring Risk
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Extreme Risk Management: Revolutionary Approaches to Evaluating and Measuring Risk ReviewThis is an exceptionally clear book written by an industrial expert for the general public. The book covers a lot of topics with focus on causality and extreme risk. On the other hand, it does not teach how to measure risk, how to do causal inference, etc. It only serves to introduce those concepts. The author also seemed to differentiate between statistics and causality but, in fact, a lot of the theories in causal inference are invented by statisticians, econometricians or epidemiologists (all stat-oriented professionals) - the most well-known framework may be the Rubin Causal Model (RCM)'s counter-factual or potential-outcome approach which seemed to have been missed by the author. The author appeared to favor the Pearl Causal Model (PCM) which is a more in-depth approach to causal inference through causal diagrams and the "do-calculus", and as argued by Pearl and many AI experts, epidemiologists and philosophers, is one of the best approaches. The RCM's potential-outcome approach can also be regarded as a subset of the PCM. However, the author did not describe any of the above methods. For that reason, I cannot recommend a 5-star rating. Overall, it is a wonderful book to read if you just want to learn the concepts not the techniques.
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Internet Searches for Vetting, Investigations, and Open-Source Intelligence Review

Internet Searches for Vetting, Investigations, and Open-Source Intelligence
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Internet Searches for Vetting, Investigations, and Open-Source Intelligence ReviewI have been a private investigator for more than 25 years. When I started in this business computers were scarce and the Internet had not yet been commercialized. Everything was done with a pencil and telephone. I have a lot of experience so it is hard for me to find books that are useful. I buy books hoping to learn one or two new things. Edward J. Appel, a retired FBI agent is the author. His company has done work for me so I knew the quality of his work and assumed his book would be at the same level as his investigative efforts. I wasn't disappointed.
The book is 320 pages and broken into 4 sections. Appel begins with a chapter about behavior and technology which orients the investigator/analyst on the growth and use of the Internet. He discusses the usefulness of the Internet as an investigative tool and the transformations the Internet is making through social and technological advances. Along with the benefits for investigators comes the darker side of the web, and Appel examines its criminal exploitation.
The first section provides a great introduction and is geared toward corporate investigators and security personnel tasked with monitoring IT systems, vetting employees and guarding company intellectual property. In Section 2 Appel outlines legal and policy issues related to using information from the Internet in investigations. He identifies liability and privacy issues and laws addressing these concerns such as the Fair Credit Reporting Act. He also dedicates a chapter to litigation, defamation, and invasion of privacy torts.
Appel develops a framework for preparation and planning of successful Internet research. He covers basic information about search engines, metasearch engines, social networking sites and search terms.
I found the chapters Automation of Searching and Internet Intelligence Reporting to be the most enlightening. Reducing time spent searching and analyzing information, seems like a no-brainer. But I would bet the number of investigators who have looked for automated solutions to their collection efforts is small. The Internet Intelligence Reporting section recommends the format and organization of a report as well as what to include and how to cite sources.
Internet Searches for Vetting, Investigations, and Open-Source Intelligence, like many trade publications, is on the pricey side. However it delivers with content and is an easy read. It met my criteria for a successful investigations book because I learned much more than two new things.
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Fixing Failed States: A Framework for Rebuilding a Fractured World Review

Fixing Failed States: A Framework for Rebuilding a Fractured World
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Fixing Failed States: A Framework for Rebuilding a Fractured World ReviewThis is an utterly brilliant book that has held my attention all morning. Although the authors do not integrate the thinking in the ten books below, I am totally, deeply, impressed by their intelligence, knowledge, and good intention.
They set out to develop understanding in five areas:
1. What State needs to do
2. How international community can help
3. How timelines and interdependencies should define sequencing
4. Why one size does NOT fit all
5. Why we must accept our shared responsibility and recognize the need for both proactive intervention, and coproduction (and sharing) of wealth.
I started with the endnotes and index, which is where I begin the most intelligent books in my reading program. I immediately detected the gaps that I address with the ten annotated links, but I was also immediately won over in seeing their appreciation for the report of the High Level Threat Panel of the UN, for Singapore under Lee Kwan Yew, for the balanced score card approach (some call for a triple bottom line), for Paul Collier's focus on the bottom billion, for Paul Hawkin's et al on natural capitalism.
Within the notes, I was shocked to learn that it has been reported that the United Nations deprived Afghanistan of the first two and a half years of all donor contribution, "by agreement" with US Government and World Bank. Since one of the author's has served as Finance Minister in Afghanistan, not only do I believe this--it must never happen again.
I find in this book one of the most original, refreshing, relevant, and therefore essential reviews on the matter of the State. Although the author's do not cite McIver, the original master on the origins and functions of the state, I consider them to be the new thought leaders and essential to any discussion of how to improve the inter-relationships among the eight tribes of governance: states, militaries, law enforcement authorities, academics, businesses, media, non-governmental organizations, and civil society including labor unions and religions. They are wrong-headed in thinking that "only sovereign states...will allow human progress to continue," and that "illegitimate networks will not be conquered except through hierarchical organizations," but in no way does this diminish the extreme importance of their deep thinking on the role of the state and the need to change both our concepts of sovereignty and our rules of the road for international organizations.
A useful early idea is that of the "double compact" between the country leadership and the international community on the one hand, and with the citizens on the other. It becomes obvious very quickly that corruption in government service is the single cancer that must be removed before states can achieve legitimacy and efficacy.
The authors have many gifted turns of phrase to include "harnessing our collective energies and readjusting to emerging patterns."
The authors recognize early on that legitimacy comes from below, from citizens, and must be earned.
I am not going to summarize each chapter, but I want to point readers toward the Army War College Strategy Conference, just concluded, on "Rebalancing the Instruments of National Power." I have posted both 29 pages of notes and an 8-page draft article for the Joint Forces Quarterly. Singapore got it early and is the world's first "smart nation." They understood early on that education powers economics, economics powers security, and so on.
Today, the authors document ably, stewardship of the environment, respect for social entrepreneurship, fair trade, and innovation in applying information technology to create wealth are all coming to the fore with honest leaders.
They identify five aspects of the networked world that are of note:
1. Framework for balancing activities of diverse stakeholders
2. Rule of law at a strategic level, with freedom of action at a tactical level (not quite true in the USA where the corrupt federal Congress establishes federal CEILINGS for regulatory action).
3. Massive investment--one reads repeatedly of the glut of money available for emerging markets (and I would add, the absence of both commercial intelligence and co-investment planning with charitable foundations)
4. World is evolving according to open systems (super point, see my keytone briefing to Gnomedex 2008, "Open Everything."
5. World is finally starting to evolve past rote memorization and toward recognizing patterns (the adaptive complex system and panarchy literature covers this well).
In the middle of the book they have six themes, each developed in a manner that makes this book quite valuable for any library, personal or organizational.
1. Conflict causes polarization of identities *and* ungovernability of aid subject to black market rules.
2. Peacemaking has been geared to compromise rather than strategic planning for a long-term outcome
3. This means that state dysfunctionality is highest immediately after the peace accord.
4. Even if civil war does not break out, cost of failed politics and poor policies is immense.
5. Lack of money is not the driver for poverty, but rather corrupt politics that enrich the few at the expense of the many.
6. Dysfunctional states spawn the rise and spread of networks of criminality and wealth confiscation instead of networks of social wealth creation and sharing.
The book concludes with "A New Agenda for State Building"
1. International compacts
2. Sovereignty strategy
3. Shared rules of the game
4. Mobilization of resources (this would be better titled harmonization of resources--we need Global Range of Gifts Tables for every country down to the village hut level, online, updated by national call centers
4. New leadership styles--this is a superb overview of what it takes to migrate from industrial era pyramidal leadership to Epoch B swarm leadership (see the image I am loading above).
5. Reflexive monitoring at every step of the implementation process
6. Double compact in practice
The final two chapters focus on national programs, and in conclusion, on "Collective Power."
I put the book down feeling GREAT.This book is a seminal reference.
Now for ten books (and my reviews) that round out this one book:
The Health of Nations: Society and Law beyond the State
High Noon 20 Global Problems, 20 Years to Solve Them
Plan B 3.0: Mobilizing to Save Civilization, Third Edition
The leadership of civilization building: Administrative and civilization theory, symbolic dialogue, and citizen skills for the 21st century
Global Assemblages: Technology, Politics, and Ethics as Anthropological Problems
The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid: Eradicating Poverty Through Profits (Wharton School Publishing Paperbacks)
The Wealth of Networks: How Social Production Transforms Markets and Freedom
Teaching to Transgress: Education as the Practice of Freedom
How to Change the World: Social Entrepreneurs and the Power of New Ideas, Updated Edition
Collective Intelligence: Creating a Prosperous World at PeaceFixing Failed States: A Framework for Rebuilding a Fractured World Overview

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Social Intelligence: The New Science of Human Relationships Review

Social Intelligence: The New Science of Human Relationships
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Social Intelligence: The New Science of Human Relationships ReviewI am a huge fan of Daniel Goleman. He's the bestselling author who coined the term "Emotional Intelligence" with his 1995 book of the same name. Now he's got a new book, "Social Intelligence: The New Science of Human Relationships." Social intelligence is the ability to read other people's cues and then act on them. Life is all about relationships, and there is a science to how we relate to each other. It's fascinating to see how Goleman breaks down each aspect of communication. We can learn how to more effectively express ourselves so that we feel understood. And we can learn how to better "read" other people so that we can better understand. This helps to improve our interactions and ultimately strengthen our relationships. He talks about "synchrony" or interacting smoothly at the nonverbal level, which is an important, yet often overlooked, part of relating. Goleman also scientifically explains "the capacity for joy" and how that affects our social intelligence. He shows how our resilience plays an important role in our happiness, which comes into play as we express ourselves to others.Social Intelligence: The New Science of Human Relationships Overview

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Counterterrorism and Open Source Intelligence (Lecture Notes in Social Networks) Review

Counterterrorism and Open Source Intelligence (Lecture Notes in Social Networks)
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Counterterrorism and Open Source Intelligence (Lecture Notes in Social Networks) ReviewI anticipate that a paperback version will be offered at a more affordable price for individuals--this is the library or institutional "trade" price.
I am very glad to see the publisher make use of Look Inside the Book, and encourage all interested parties to use that feature and study the table of contents. I have to articulate my profound respect for the conference organizer and senior book editor and for those contributing to this book, all of whom I met at the conference for which this content was created.
I have never seen a better collection of scientific and mathematical approaches to leveraging open sources of information to identify precursors and patterns of terrorism. This is an original book, and the first major effort of the new counterterrorism center at the University of Southern Denmark.
Including my alternative perspective, as one other senior participant put it, "makes our job harder." One reason I particularly like Nordic professionals is because of their integrity. There is a great deal of intelligence and total integrity in this book; it is an honor for me to have been included. I am not competent in the way the other authors are, and my regard for their pioneering is unlimited.
Also just published, very US centric but a really original study, is No More Secrets: Open Source Information and the Reshaping of U.S. Intelligence (Praeger Security International). I have provided a lengthy review at the Amazon page for that book.
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